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UNFCCC negotiations (pre-Kyoto to COP-9): what the process says about the politics of CDM-sinks

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Abstract

One of the most contentious issues in the negotiations aimed at operationalizing the Kyoto Protocol was the treatment of sinks and, particularly, the eligibility of sinks projects in the Clean Development Mechanism (CDM). This paper attempts to analyse the politics underlying these negotiations, drawing on methods of process tracing, key informant interviews, negotiating texts and secondary literature. Tracing the sinks debate and highlighting key lessons about the nature of global environmental agreements and their institutional arrangements is the first step to recounting the history of the politics of one of the major contemporary international environmental debates. The paper shows that the Kyoto Protocol negotiations on sinks and CDM-sinks were multilaterally supported as a practical solution, but went ‘off track’ due to actors’ interests and tradeoffs. As regards future negotiations on forest sinks in developing countries under the framework of the UNFCCC, the paper argues that these are likely to be influenced by similar constraints, and also by the conservation and development agenda of its supporters; as well as the experience gathered on the CDM and the interests and concerns of developing countries. We broadly frame the paper within the literature on global environmental politics.

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Notes

  1. According to Article 1.8 of the UNFCCC, a ‘sink’ is any process, activity or mechanism which removes a greenhouse gas, an aerosol or a precursor of a greenhouse gas from the atmosphere. Therefore, while the term sinks is often used to specifically indicate tree plantations it is used in this paper to also indicate activities such as natural regeneration of trees and protection of trees in multi-component conservation projects.

  2. The first forestry offset project started before COP-1, in Guatemala in 1989 to offset emissions from a US-based company.

  3. The informal interviews were conducted by the lead author as part of her PhD research and in subsequent meetings as part of ongoing research on sinks. Interviewees were selected on the basis of their knowledge of the topic, and hence referred to as key informants.

  4. Opposition by the G77 and China to the proposal later resulted in Appendix 2 of Decision 11CP/7 on forest removals units in the Marrakech Accords in 2001.

  5. The ENB summary of COP-4 only has four instances of sinks and COP-5 has six mentioned compared to 50 instances at COP-3.

  6. The technical discussions in the IPCC were underpinned by discords over definitions set out in the report over afforestation, reforestation and deforestation. Furthermore, the report’s chapter on ‘projects’ raised significant controversy on the role of scientists in prescribing policy (Fry 2002). The World Rainforest Movement heavily criticized the report for its lack of transparency, alleging that the lead authors also had interests in private-sector consultancies that sought to promote carbon offsets (WRM 2000a; Forsyth 2003). Despite these critiques, the IPCC LULUCF report is still one of the most reliable sources of information concerning land use activities.

  7. Some could argue that in the past other approved Decisions had been changed as a result of political bargaining. For example, Russia’s cap on sinks use for compliance, which was established at 17 MtCO2/year at COP-6-2 (see Decision 5/CP.6), was moved up to 33 MtCO2/year at COP-7 (see Decision 12/CP.7).

  8. A Canadian submission during pre-COP-9 sessions considered three options for making the insured credits permanent. First, to exchange the insured credits (iCERs) for an equal number of AAUs, CERs or ERUs; Second, to subject the project to a legally binding “protected status”, such as a national park, protected area, covenant or easement; And third to subject the project to long-term sustainable management agreement for the land and its carbon reservoir, in accordance with domestic legislation. All options had to be insured and monitored for a fixed number of years, which went up to a maximum of 30 years for a reforestation project with a crediting period of 20 years not renewed (Submission by Canada, 26 November 2003).

  9. The Colombian proposal (originally submitted in September 2000 and contained as a Colombian submission in document FCCC/SBSTA/2000/MISC.8) suggested that those carbon credits obtained by a developed country from forestry projects would expire when the carbon is emitted to the atmosphere for whatever reason. Then, the holding country would have to either reduce national emissions by that amount or buy the same number of carbon credits from another forestry project.

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Acknowledgements

Extensive thanks are given to James Martin for his financial support under which this article was written. Gratitude is extended to Dr. Maria Gutierrez and Bo Kjellén for providing comments on an earlier draft. The usual disclaimer applies.

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Boyd, E., Corbera, E. & Estrada, M. UNFCCC negotiations (pre-Kyoto to COP-9): what the process says about the politics of CDM-sinks. Int Environ Agreements 8, 95–112 (2008). https://doi.org/10.1007/s10784-008-9070-x

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